Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2390.614929 2582.095342 2774.082320 2980.705368 3196.483306 3414.875026 3652.318512
2026-02-08 2074.112552 2360.907492 2657.283520 2985.262223 3336.894272 3701.485366 4107.000237
2026-02-15 1845.445954 2189.462635 2553.403722 2964.664416 3414.112512 3888.173506 4423.802382
2026-02-22 1715.806384 2106.775464 2528.388147 3012.825760 3550.204432 4124.467718 4781.003791
2026-03-01 1589.366274 2015.184576 2482.570720 3027.749365 3640.558811 4302.933871 5067.910206
2026-03-08 1458.430911 1908.578475 2411.247666 3006.063180 3683.007623 4422.442694 5284.330858
2026-03-15 1328.080848 1794.239157 2323.781926 2959.239987 3691.093657 4498.502433 5447.772077
2026-03-22 1301.086259 1798.703706 2370.954120 3064.465293 3869.797899 4764.355345 5822.261874
2026-03-29 1245.185290 1764.636737 2369.862374 3110.984492 3979.023484 4950.035274 6105.246404
2026-04-05 1175.498306 1709.839161 2340.946508 3122.023538 4044.846650 5084.442201 6328.627063
2026-04-12 1103.463879 1648.392964 2300.941351 3117.165443 4089.808815 5193.088548 6521.114328
2026-04-19 1044.385959 1600.222115 2274.542468 3126.352180 4149.415979 5317.170171 6730.130335
2026-04-26 971.055535 1531.716745 2221.989710 3103.596451 4171.676135 5399.176513 6892.827298
2026-05-03 915.333387 1483.616485 2192.890439 3107.899473 4225.150107 5517.023178 7096.880146
2026-05-10 852.117958 1422.498583 2144.899926 3086.781147 4246.280515 5595.508710 7254.007590
2026-05-17 824.421977 1407.648566 2154.560969 3136.142992 4351.835534 5773.023679 7526.530268
2026-05-24 784.098339 1373.567757 2137.973472 3151.437101 4415.000316 5899.665184 7738.973609
2026-05-31 730.924326 1319.136856 2092.960447 3129.212282 4430.875210 5968.970109 7883.085252
2026-06-07 671.019100 1252.281616 2029.281859 3081.220916 4413.305870 5996.908895 7977.146344
2026-06-14 674.553785 1276.726509 2087.055097 3189.061551 4589.155946 6257.702593 8348.208157
2026-06-21 655.487540 1267.181707 2098.549835 3236.725780 4689.807860 6427.745459 8611.364262
2026-06-28 624.205525 1238.161688 2082.664666 3248.035560 4744.395700 6541.680824 8807.359854
2026-07-05 588.905701 1201.480339 2055.087964 3243.058365 4777.734729 6629.266022 8971.442034